The aged care sector is at a critical juncture. Australia's population is aging rapidly, with the number of people over 65 projected to grow from 16% of the population in 2021 to 20% by 2041. This demographic shift, coupled with recent government reforms and evolving resident needs, is creating an unprecedented demand for a skilled and compassionate aged care workforce.

This environment presents significant challenges and opportunities for the aged care sector over the next five years. Providers must strategically plan and adapt their workforce models to ensure they can continue to deliver high-quality, person-centred care in a sustainable way. The ability to future-proof your aged care workforce will be key to meeting these demands.

the looming workforce shortfall

A severe and persistent workforce shortage is the most pressing issue. Government and industry projections paint a stark picture. Demand for care and support workers is projected to significantly outpace workforce supply, with a gap of approximately 211,430 full-time equivalent (FTE) positions by 2050, according to a report by Jobs and Skills Australia. This highlights the urgent need for providers to strategically plan and adapt their workforce models to ensure they can continue to deliver high-quality, person-centred care in a sustainable way. The ability to future-proof the aged care workforce will be key to meeting these demands.

key strategies for building a resilient workforce

To combat these challenges, aged care providers must adopt a multi-faceted approach focused on attraction, retention, and innovation.

1. redefining the employee value proposition

To attract new talent and retain existing staff, providers must make aged care a more appealing career choice.

an image of aged care nurses talking to an elderly woman
an image of aged care nurses talking to an elderly woman

2. embracing technology and innovation 

Technology will be a game-changer, improving efficiency and enhancing the quality of care.

3. shifting to a human-centred, flexible model

The future of the aged care workforce will be defined by flexibility and personalisation.

the road ahead

The next five years will be a period of significant change for the aged care sector. While the staffing challenges are immense, government reforms and a growing focus on workforce development present a clear opportunity for providers to build a more sustainable and resilient workforce. By prioritising technology, improving the employee experience, and embracing flexibility, the sector can not only meet the demands of an aging population but also deliver on the promise of high-quality, person-centred care.

Are you prepared for the demands of the next five years? Contact Randstad Health and Aged Care today to discuss how we can help you re-evaluate your current staffing strategy and develop a clear plan to future-proof your organisation.

Call 1300 289 817 or

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about the author
Matt Hodges
Matt Hodges

Matt Hodges

national director - health & aged care